Re: [FunBBGroup] Signs the virus is slowing down

by Crime Time Tamil on March 31, 2020

Wisconsin is closed for another 4 weeks I believe. And just remember - more positives doesn't mean more cases. Just means more verified. Many many many have it, or had it, and never got tested. It's natural that the more testing that happens, the more positives you will get.

Carrie Courter

On Mon, Mar 30, 2020 at 4:45 PM Natalieav2@aol.com [FunBBGroup] <FunBBGroup@yahoogroups.com> wrote:

Thanks Carrie. I know Andrew Cuomo was saying in NY that the number of cases doubling is taking more days than it was so that's a good sign too. Here in NJ we are going higher and higher but also a lot of the results coming in now are from a week ago or more so it's going to take time for the results to catch up to when everyone (or mostly everyone) staying home shows that it's working. I really hope things go down and that no other state gets it so bad. We really should have a national stay at home order but unfortunately governors have had to decide for themselves and i think that's going to delay things getting as much better as they can.

-----Original Message-----
From: Carrie Courter carriecourter@gmail.com [FunBBGroup] <FunBBGroup@yahoogroups.com>
To: yahoogroups <FunBBGroup@yahoogroups.com>
Sent: Mon, Mar 30, 2020 4:53 pm
Subject: [FunBBGroup] Signs the virus is slowing down

Came across this article a short bit ago. I know some of you are very anxious about this virus. So I'm sharing, because maybe it will help easy anxieties? Or just give info :)

https://www.yahoo.com/news/early-signs-coronavirus-outbreaks-around-141540874.html

After weeks of lockdowns and travel bans, it appears that the rate of increase in new cases of coronavirus are beginning to slow in some of the hardest-hit nations around the world.

Here are charts from the data-tracking site Worldometer showing the progress of outbreaks in western European nations, which have been wrestling with outbreaks for several weeks:

New coronavirus cases in Italy declined over the weekend...
Worldometers

The above graphic shows how new coronavirus cases in Spain are beginning to decline.
Worldometers

The rate of new coronavirus cases in the UK appears to be declining as of Monday, March 30, 2020.
Worldometers

All three have seen a similar trajectory — a peak and then a recent decline.

It is difficult to judge from this data alone, because the time period for the declines in new cases are too small. But some experts in those countries also sound optimistic.

In Italy, at a government press briefing on Sunday, Professor Luca Richeldi said that only 50 people that day needed to be taken to the ICU, compared to around 120 on the previous two days.

He said he took it as a sign that Italy's harsh lockdown is working.

In the UK, the influential epidemiologist Neil Ferguson, of Imperial College, told the BBC's "Today" program on Monday that "we can see some early signs of slowing in some indicators."

He said to "look at the numbers of new hospital admissions today, for instance, that does seem to be slowing down a little bit now. It's not yet plateaued as the numbers are increasing each day but the rate of that increase has slowed," Ferguson said.

He warned that deaths will likely continue to increase, since people with even fatal infections tend to spend several days in the hospital before dying.

There are still many reasons to be cautious

The UK is also behind the other outbreaks in Europe, having only put its people under lockdown a little more than a week ago. So the impact of isolation likely hasn't impacted new case counts yet.

The case data is also choppy — Italy last week appeared to be registering a decline, only to go on surge back towards a record before dropping again.

In New York City, which last week became the epicenter of the US outbreak, the city also recorded its smallest daily case increase in a week.

Farzad Mostashari, founder of health care startup Aledade, and former national coordinator for health information technology at the Department Health and Human Services, tweeted Saturday that there "*may*" be "early signals" that "infections in NYC slowed.."

In the wider US, however, the picture continues to look bleak.

Even President Donald Trump, who has consistently downplayed the threat posed by the virus, on Sunday abandoned his hope of reviving the US economy by Easter.

Instead, he said, the country should regard it as a "very good job" if its death toll can be kept as low as 100,000.

Read the original article on Business Insider

Carrie Courter